2024-01-26
Future directions
How to plan for futute landscapes
\(\begin{align*} \text{Maximize} & = \text{Biodiversity} + \text{Resilience} + \text{Human dimension}\end{align*}\)
- Biodiversity
- Community composition and rarity
- Phylogenetic Diversity
- Functional diversity*
- Resilience
- Contiguity (Area)
- Stochastic components and Global Change Vulnerability
- Network stability (Trophic and/or mutualistic)*
- Ecosystem Functioning*
- Human dimension
- Food and resource security (Eg. Renewable energy, water)
- Minimize conflict*
Biodiversity
Maximize biodiversity
\[\max_{\text{ConservationIndex}} \sum_{l, c}^{L,C} \text{LanduseDecision}_{l, c} \cdot \text{S}_{l, c} \cdot \text{PD}_{l, c}\cdot \text{Rar}_{l, c}\]
Resilience
Resilience
- Resilience
- Contiguity (Area)
- Stochastic components and Global Change Vulnerability
- Network stability (Trophic and/or mutualistic)*
- Ecosystem Functioning*
\[\max_{\text{ObjectiveFunction}} \sum_{i, j} \text{DecisionVariable}_{l, i} \cdot \text{DecisionVariable}_{l, j} \cdot \text{Bonus}\]
Example Landuse (Global contribution)
\(\begin{align*} \text{Maximize} & = \text{Biodiversity} + \text{Resilience} \cdot \text{bonus}\end{align*}\)
- Trade-off
Individual cell values (Local contribution)
\(\begin{align*} \text{Maximize} & = \text{Biodiversity}_c + \text{Resilience}_c\cdot \text{bonus}\end{align*}\)
Work in progress
- Stochasticity and climate change vulnerability
Resilience in Networks
- Measures of network stability
- Trophic and mutualistic
- With rewiring potential hypothesis
- Potential colaboration (Eva and Alejo)
Network flow
- Incorporating species dispersal (Species on the move)
- Multiple scenarios
- Example report
Geographic representation
Adding human dimension
\[\begin{align*} \text{Maximize} & = \text{Biodiversity} + \text{Resilience} + \text{Human dimension}\end{align*}\]
- First iteration:
- Economic yield and number of owners
- Second iteration:
- Characterization of actors, who is in the areas of interest (Farmers, Home owners, private companies, municipalities, Frederik)
- What are their interests
- Third iteration:
- Interview them, what are their concerns (quantitative surveys, Q method, Maya, Pil, Sara)
- add them to the optimization
External colaborations
External colaborations
- Stochastic models in migration and optimization (Cristobal Quiñinao, Chile)
- Trophic and Mutualistic networks (Isidora Ávila-Thieme, Chile, Erik Kusch, Norway)